How Long Will the Drought Last?

Larry Lynch Outdoors , Weather Leave a Comment

We’ve had several calls recently from folks who have been considering a move to East Texas but are having second thoughts because of the heat wave this past summer and the drought we’ve been experiencing the past two years.

One gentleman told me that droughts come in five-year cycles, so he was going to wait on his move to our neighborhood. Hmmm. I decided to take a look at our average rainfall here in Tyler over the past few years to see if there was evidence of a five-year cycle.

Looking at the graph above, you won’t see five-year cycles. In fact, this graph seems to support the old adage that if you don’t like Texas weather today, just wait till next week, it’s bound to change. Although we’re experiencing a really dry year, the last comparable year was in 2005, when we had less than 25 inches of rain.┬áIn the fall of 2006, Lake Tyler was lower than it is now. That winter it filled back up in two days! And so it goes. Texas is experiencing a drought now, but it could end with one good tropical storm.

 

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Larry Lynch

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